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Saturday, October 24, 2015

A hypothetical stance amid nerdy calculations. China come 8th, Holland third. Russia wins!



Calculating scores using the 3-3 format of finals produces a slightly different finishing order than today.  China take bronze ahead of Britain, Japan takes fifth ahead of Italy, Netherlands jumps ahead of Canada.  It's a different competition and we will just have to see, but intriguing nonetheless.

USA.          46.966 44.649 43.198 44.198.    179.011

Russia.       45.433 45.566 43.432 41.599.    176.03

GBR.          44.865. 42.066 41.699. 43.2.       171.83

CHN.          44.698 43.298 42.033 42.133      172.162

ITA              44.024 40.699 41.699 42.465      168.887

JPN            43.933 41.699 41.599 42.766      169.997

CAN           43.8 41.999 41.516 41.266           168.581

NED            42.116 42.133 43.232 41.766.      169.247

I also worked out that without Biles, USA would stand marginally behind Russia.  A hypothetical stance I know.

USA B.        46.099  43.049  42.232  43.633     175.013

I thought it would be interesting to work out the execution scores standings.  These show an even bigger change, with NED leaping into third place from eighth, ITA moving up from fifth to fourth, GBR finishing fifth, and China dropping all the way to eighth.  Maybe somebody else wants to work out the scores from ninth downwards to see what the true standings are ...  

Of course China did have a very bad day.  I worked out Romania's E score and it was less than 3 points below China whose D scores saved the day for them.  I didn't see Romania's routines, but their e scores on uneven bars in particular seem brutal.  They competed in the first subdivision; surely scores crept upwards especially towards the later part of the second day.  But that can't account for it all.  Mistakes are mistakes but this looks like a hatchet job to me.  

USA.  28.566.  25.749. 25.532  26.066.     105.913

RUS   27.433.  26.266  25.532. 24.699.      103.93

GBR. 27.465.   24.066  25.166. 24.9.          101.597

CHN. 27.232.   23.332. 24.033  24.033.       98.63

ITA     27.624.   23.899  25.299  25.432      102.254

JPN.  27.333.   24.333  24.599. 25.266       101.531

CAN. 27.233.   24.266. 24.233. 24.766.      100.498

NED  26.816.    25.233. 26.032. 25.274       103.355

A calculator in my hands is a dangerous thing.  E&OE.

With thanks to Gymcastic for the picture of the scoreboard.


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